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OptimizeRx Corp (OPRX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong Q3 topline and profitability with continued mix-driven margin expansion; FY25 guidance raised and FY26 introduced. Q3 revenue $26.07M (+22% y/y) and non-GAAP EPS $0.20; GAAP EPS $0.04. Gross margin reached 67.2% vs 63.1% y/y, aided by product/channel mix and lower managed services contribution .
  • Material beats vs S&P Global consensus: revenue by ~10% and EPS by ~$0.16; management emphasized conservatism and visibility built on contracted revenue (less reliance on pipeline) * * .
  • Guidance: FY25 raised to revenue $105–$109M (from $104–$108M) and Adjusted EBITDA $16–$19M (from $14.5–$17.5M); FY26 introduced at revenue $118–$124M and Adjusted EBITDA $19–$22M .
  • Mix shift to DAAP and Micro‑Neighborhood Targeting (MNT) continues to smooth revenue and improve visibility; management reiterated gross margin framework “upper-50s to low‑60s” with upside potential, and paid down an additional $2M of term loan post‑Q3 (effective rate 15.9% in Q3) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Beat on revenue and normalized EPS vs S&P Global: $26.07M vs ~$23.69M est.; Primary EPS $0.20 vs ~$0.04 est., reflecting strong execution and favorable mix * *.
    • Gross margin expanded to 67.2% (from 63.1% y/y) driven by solution/channel mix and lower managed services; CFO framework “upper 50s to low 60s,” with upside as mix improves .
    • Visibility improved with increased contracted revenue, enabling raised FY25 guide and initial FY26 guide; CEO: guidance reflects “true visibility… very conservative… look to beat the numbers” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Sequential revenue declined vs Q2 ($26.07M vs $29.20M) as managed services normalized; adjusted EBITDA stepped down sequentially ($5.09M vs $5.75M) .
    • Q4 commentary implies cautious phasing; at the top end, Q4 revenue could be slightly down y/y due to smoothing and conservative assumptions (no “buy-up” baked in) .
    • Interest burden remains elevated (term loan 12.9% stated rate; 15.9% effective in Q3), though company continues to prepay ($2M post‑quarter) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$21.31 $29.20 $26.07
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.50) $0.08 $0.04
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.12 $0.24 $0.20
Gross Margin (%)63.1% 63.8% 67.2%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$2.69 $5.75 $5.09

Actual vs S&P Global Consensus (Q3 2025)

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$23.69*$26.07 +$2.38 (beat)*
Primary EPS ($)$0.04*$0.20 (normalized) +$0.16 (beat)*
  • Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global. Primary EPS reflects S&P’s normalized methodology, comparable to the company’s non-GAAP diluted EPS .

Balance Sheet/Liquidity highlights

  • Cash and equivalents: $19.52M at 9/30/25; Operating cash flow YTD $11.63M .
  • Term loan principal $28.79M at 9/30/25; prepaid ~$2.0M on 10/29/25 to $26.79M .

KPIs (Rolling 12 Months; $ in thousands where noted)

KPIR12M Mar 31, 2025R12M Jun 30, 2025R12M Sep 30, 2025
Avg. revenue per top 20 pharma ($)$2,960 $3,082 $3,073
% revenue from top 20 pharma63% 59% 56%
Net revenue retention114% 121% 120%
Revenue per average FTE ($)$710 $767 $820

Segment: OptimizeRx operates as a single reporting segment .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY2025$104–$108M $105–$109M Raised
Adjusted EBITDAFY2025$14.5–$17.5M $16–$19M Raised
RevenueFY2026$118–$124M Introduced
Adjusted EBITDAFY2026$19–$22M Introduced

Management added that Q4 phasing is conservative, with smoothing effects and no “buy‑up” seasonality assumed .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Subscription/DAAP mixQ1: “converted over 5% of 2025 sales into subscription” . Q2: 5% now, line‑of‑sight to ~10% for the year .DAAP and MNT are smoothing revenue; subscriptive nature and renewals improving visibility .Increasing mix/visibility
Gross margin expansionQ2 GM 63.8% on favorable solution/channel mix .GM 67.2%; mix (DAAP/MNT) and channel terms; less managed services in Q3; outlook “upper‑50s to low‑60s” with upside .Improving
Contracted revenue/visibilityQ2: contracted revenue up >30% y/y; guidance raised .Guidance built on contracted revenue; “very conservative… look to beat” .Visibility up; conservative guide
Mid‑tier pharma demandQ2: mid‑tier logos growing faster; lowers top‑20 concentration .Continued mid‑tier growth; commercial team shaping RFPs; win rates improving .Broadening customer base
New channels/partnershipsLamar pilot underway; not included in FY26 guide .Optionality (early)
Capital/debtQ2: prepaid $4.5M principal; plan to accelerate deleveraging .Prepaid another $2M post‑Q3; term loan 12.9% (15.9% effective in Q3) .Deleveraging vs high cost

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and visibility: “We moved away from quoting pipeline… guidance… is reflective of our true visibility… very conservative… look to beat the numbers” — Steve Silvestro (CEO) .
  • Smoothing and mix: DAAP and MNT “lend themselves to becoming more subscriptive in nature” and renew earlier; this “transform[s] the profile of the business” and visibility into 2026 .
  • Gross margin framework: “Driven by… solution mix and channel partner mix… stabilizing in upper‑50s to low‑60s… upside as the year progresses” — Ed Stelmakh (CFO) .
  • Q4 phasing: “Look at it on a full year basis… Q1, Q2, and Q3 have been extremely strong… smoother phasing this year” — CFO .
  • Partnerships optionality: Lamar partnership “early stages… not included” in 2026 guidance .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q4 implied trajectory: Management emphasized full‑year lens and conservative assumptions; smoothing from business model changes; no “buy‑ups” embedded .
  • Gross margin drivers: Mix shift (DAAP/MNT), better channel terms, and lower managed services mix; framework “upper‑50s to low‑60s” with upside .
  • Managed services: Normalized in Q3; only already‑won activity included in outlook .
  • FY26: Early visibility supports initial guide; excludes Lamar contributions .
  • Operating leverage: OpEx run‑rate relatively stable; variable comp tracks outperformance; leverage expected as scale increases .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 results beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $26.07M vs $23.69M est.; Primary (normalized) EPS $0.20 vs $0.04 est. Potential estimate revisions likely to move FY25/FY26 revenue and EPS higher given raised FY25 guide and initial FY26 guide * * .
  • Forward consensus markers: Q4 2025 revenue ~$30.91M and Primary EPS ~$0.22; Q1 2026 revenue ~$23.03M and Primary EPS ~$0.04 (for context; company guides on FY, not quarter) [GetEstimates]*.
  • Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clear beats vs consensus on revenue and normalized EPS; mix‑driven margin expansion above framework underscores pricing/channel leverage and DAAP/MNT traction * * .
  • FY25 raised and FY26 introduced; guidance rooted in contracted revenue improves credibility; management tone is conservative with intent to outperform .
  • Sequential revenue/EBITDA step‑down reflects normalization of managed services; smoothing should reduce Q4 seasonality volatility, but limits near‑term upside from “buy‑ups” .
  • KPI trajectory supportive: rising revenue per FTE, stable‑high NRR, and declining top‑20 concentration as mid‑tier adoption accelerates .
  • Deleveraging continues, but cost of debt remains high (12.9% stated; 15.9% effective) — continued prepayments are a lever for EPS/cash flow accretion .
  • Watch items: term loan covenants/rate sensitivity, sustained mix toward higher‑margin DAAP/MNT, Lamar/CTV optionality, and remediation of previously identified material weakness in controls (data from third parties) .
  • Trading implications: Beat‑and‑raise plus FY26 bookends are positive catalysts; any conservative Q4 phasing could temper near‑term sequential optics, but mix and visibility support estimate revisions and multiple expansion narratives .

Citations:

  • Q3 press release and financials (Form 8‑K/Ex.99.1): .
  • Q3 10‑Q: gross margin table, debt terms, subsequent $2M prepayment, internal control status: .
  • Q3 earnings call transcript: guidance philosophy, smoothing/mix, gross margin framework, Lamar: .
  • Q2 press release/8‑K and transcript: revenue/GM, guidance, KPIs, managed services context: .
  • Q1 press release: revenue, KPIs, subscription mix: .
  • S&P Global estimates: Q3 actual vs est., Q4 and Q1 forward markers (asterisked).*

Disclaimer: All values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.